“Yes, this stock has hit its peak; this is the
right time to sell”. Where does this recommendation come from? How do Mutual
Funds or Wealth management companies decide, which stocks to invest in? The
answer lies in the extremely interesting field of Equity
Research.
Broadly, there are two methods of analyzing a
stock’s performance:
The ‘Fundamental Analysis’ approach, looks at
the fundamental factors driving stock value: the economy,
industry and the company’s financials. Using these, it then
arrives at a fair value. The basic idea here is, the price of a stock should,
finally, reflect its actual value.
It often doesn’t. Prices are also driven by
herd mentality, fear, greed and mismatches between the demand and supply of the
stock!
So, if a stock is trading at below its fair
value, then you’d buy it – its price should go up, to the fair value; and vice
versa.
Technical Analysis, on
the other hand, is based on the principle
that past investor behaviour will repeat in the future. That is, price
movements in the past, will repeat in the future. It involves pure analysis
of the past patterns of stock price movements.
In real life, most professionals use a
combination of both.
As a fresher, how do you get the knowledge, to
enter this field? First, let us understand the roles available to you. We can
then see, how to get there.
Broadly, entry level roles are available in –
(a) The businesses which actually
do the trading Brokerage firms. They need the research, so
that they can advise their clients. They use these research reports, to
showcase their expertise as well. Examples are IIFL, Angel Broking, Anand
Rathi, etc.
(b) Global investment houses such
as Goldman Sachs, Nomura have their captive research units (KPOs) in India,
where Analysts will research not just Indian stocks, but stocks in other markets
too. Traders will make decisions, or recommend investments to clients, basis
this analysis.
There are third party KPOs as well, who handle
the research for a range of clients – again, these are usually, global
financial institutions. Examples of third party KPOs are Copal Amba, Crisil,
Evalueserv, etc.
A brokerage firm typically prefers people with
experience; at the least, an MBA in Finance. Fresher’s have more options in a
KPO: the client there would lay out a template, and you would have very specific
tasks.
An Analyst starts by doing some basic analysis
such as calculating ratios using standard templates built in-house. She soon
starts specializing in a particular industry such as IT, Healthcare, Auto, etc.
She needs to acquire in-depth knowledge of a particular sector, in order to
grow as an Analyst. This is because, a lot of factors external to the company,
affect that particular industry. For example, US visa and outsourcing rules,
will impact the Indian IT industry.
Within the Research team, it’s a fairly flat
structure. You’ll grow quickly to doing the complete analysis of a company.
However, the final report and recommendation (Buy?/Hold?/Sell?) is done by the
head of Analysis for that sector.
So, how do you get there?
This is a competitive field! First, make a
list of ten companies in each – Brokerages, Captive and Third Party KPOs,
you can apply to. Second, find out the head of research on LinkedIn, for each
company – you can also derive the email ID, by using the
‘firstname.lastname@companyurl.com’ format.
Write to each of them, with a customized cover
note, and your CV.
But for the CV to catch their attention, you
have to make sure, you have a great CV AND the right knowledge, to crack the
interview. You must showcase your focus in this area – either via an internship,
a project and/or a good short term course, with an industry
endorsed certification. An extremely relevant one is the FLIP-NCFM
certification on Equity Research issued by NSE. Once you’ve done this,
you can also add on a FLIP
Certification in Technical Analysis – both of them together, with give you a
Research Analyst certification.
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